
Paper Title
Process Production Quality Prediction Algorithm Based on Mar-G LSTM
Authors
Yin Yanchao, Su Yifan (Corresponding Author), Tang Jun, Lin Wenqiang, Pu Haoran, Wang Linyu
Affiliations
1. School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology
2. Yunnan Tobacco Industrial Co., Ltd.
Funding
National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFB3308401)
National Natural Science Foundation of China (52065033)
Yunnan Province Major Science and Technology Project (202202AG050002)

Abstract
In response to the characteristics of strong continuity and complex temporal coupling in process production, traditional neural networks lack long-term memory capabilities and tend to encounter issues such as parameter disaster and gradient explosion during deep network training. This paper proposes a combined prediction model based on Markov optimization, integrating Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM), termed Mar-G LSTM. Firstly, a gated mechanism is incorporated into the recurrent neural network structure to construct a deep LSTM neural network model that selectively remembers temporal data information, learning the information dependencies of temporal data sequences, thereby addressing the gradient explosion issue during training. Simultaneously, the prediction results of the GRU-LSTM model are corrected and optimized using Markov chains, further improving the prediction accuracy while reducing model complexity. Finally, analysis and verification are conducted using the process data from a specific production line, showing that the Mar-G LSTM algorithm improves prediction accuracy by 37.42%, 21.32%, 17.91%, and 12.56% compared to the Random Forest model, GRU model, LSTM model, and CNN-GRU model, respectively. The proposed Mar-G LSTM algorithm can achieve accurate predictions of process production quality, providing ideas and implementation pathways to reduce the completion time of process parameter control tasks.

Mar-G LSTM Structure Diagram

GRU-LSTM Network Structure Diagram

GRU-LSTM and Mar-G LSTM Fit to Actual Values


Ablation Experiment Prediction Results Comparison

Ablation Experiment Relative Residual Comparison


Comparison Experiment Prediction Results Comparison

Comparison Experiment Relative Residual Comparison

First Level Feeding Prediction Results Comparison

Thin Plate Drying Prediction Results Comparison
Author Biographies
Yin Yanchao (1977-)
Female, from Anyang, Henan, Professor at Kunming University of Science and Technology, PhD, PhD supervisor, research direction: Intelligent Manufacturing, Industrial Big Data, etc.
E-mail:[email protected]
Su Yifan (1997-)
Female, from Zhengzhou, Henan, Master’s student at Kunming University of Science and Technology, research direction: Machine Learning, Intelligent Algorithms, Industrial Big Data, Corresponding Author.
E-mail:[email protected]
Tang Jun (1984-)
Male, from Guilin, Guangxi, Senior Engineer at Yunnan Tobacco Industrial Co., Ltd., PhD, research direction: Processing Technology and Equipment, Data Mining, etc.
E-mail:[email protected]
Lin Wenqiang (1984-)
Male, from Guigang, Guangxi, Engineer at Yunnan Tobacco Industrial Co., Ltd., Master’s student, research direction: Processing Technology and Equipment, Data Processing, etc.
E-mail:[email protected]
Pu Haoran (1995-)
Male, from Guangyuan, Sichuan, Master’s student at Kunming University of Science and Technology, research direction: Big Data Mining, Knowledge Graph.
E-mail:[email protected]
Wang Linyu (1998-)
Male, from Shangrao, Jiangxi, Master’s student at Kunming University of Science and Technology, research direction: Machine Learning, Data Processing, Intelligent Algorithms.
E-mail:[email protected]
Paper Information
Yin Yanchao, Su Yifan, Tang Jun, Lin Wenqiang, Pu Haoran, Wang Linyu. Process Production Quality Prediction Algorithm Based on Mar-G LSTM. Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems, 2024, 30(3):942-957.
DOI:10.13196/j.cims.2023.0126

Scan to View Full Text
This article is published in Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems, Volume 30, Issue 3, 2024. The full text can be downloaded for free on the journal’s official website (www.cims-journal.cn).
Editorial Department of Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems

This journal is:
A source journal for the American Engineering Index (Ei Compendex)
A source journal for the Netherlands Abstract and Citation Database (Scopus)
A core source journal for the Chinese Science Citation Database (CSCD)
Top journal in the WJCI Science Journal World Impact Index Report (2023)
A core journal in the Chinese Science and Technology Core Journal (CSTPCD)
A core journal in the Overview of Chinese Core Journals (2023 edition)
Included in the CCF High-Quality Journal Classification Directory in Computer Science
Included in the High-Quality Science and Technology Journal Classification Directory in Graphics
T1 level journal
Included in the High-Quality Science and Technology Journal Classification Directory in Simulation Science and Technology
Included in the High-Quality Science and Technology Journal Classification Directory in Weapon Science and Technology (2022 edition)
A first-level academic journal in the Zhejiang University Domestic Academic Journal Classification Guide (2020 edition)
RCCSE authoritative academic journal in China
Official website: http://www.cims-journal.cn
Official email: [email protected]
Contact number: 010-68962468/2479